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Osborne, E., Miller, A., Randal, E., & Shaw, C.
. Rapidly reducing oil reliance: Quick wins in active transport. Public Health Expert Briefing. https://www.phcc.org.nz/briefing/rapidly-reducing-oil-reliance-quick-wins-active-transport

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Osborne E, Miller A, Randal E, Shaw C. Rapidly reducing oil reliance: Quick wins in active transport. Public Health Expert Briefing. . https://www.phcc.org.nz/briefing/rapidly-reducing-oil-reliance-quick-wins-active-transport

Summary

Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) faces rising fuel prices and vulnerability to fuel supply disruption from conflict in the Middle East. Where people are locked into driving, these shocks are especially disruptive. Local and central government can support communities by making it easier to make short trips without driving by supporting active travel and public transport.

In this Briefing, we focus on three approaches to support active travel which have a track record of successful, rapid implementation. These are neighbourhood-level changes to make walking and cycling easy, safe, connected cycleways and getting people on bikes through free bike/e-bike programmes. These approaches can reduce the need for driving, save households money, can be rolled out quickly, and have long-term health and climate benefits. 

The escalating conflict in the Middle East has caused a spike in fuel prices and urgent concern about energy security. NZ’s fuel supply is highly vulnerable to disruption.1 The recently announced Fuel Response Plan mainly involves close monitoring at phases 1 and 2, with supply-side intervention at phases 3 and 4. The fuel plan largely misses opportunities to reduce demand for fossil fuels. Road transport is the largest single source of fossil fuel use in NZ.2 One component of the response should be to create practical alternatives to driving to reduce fuel demand by households in towns and cities. We outline three approaches to supporting walking and cycling, which can be implemented rapidly. These measures should be implemented alongside other steps to reduce driving, such as temporarily removing public transport fares

Neighbourhood-level changes to make walking and cycling easy

Neighbourhood-level changes to street space can rapidly shift how people get around locally. Low-traffic neighbourhoods use affordable infrastructure such as planter boxes or bollards to create calm streets which are safe for walking, scootering, biking and wheeling. All parts of the neighbourhood remain accessible to people who need to drive, while increasing walking and biking and reducing driving, road traffic injuries, crime, and air and noise pollution.3-6 The government has signalled that in-person school attendance is a priority, so these measures are particularly important around schools. 

These approaches were rolled out cheaply and quickly in a number of cities, including in London as part of the Covid-19 response in 2020, leading to more walking and cycling, and less driving.7 The Lyall Bay street trial in Wellington demonstrates the kind of attractive, low-cost measures which are already making it safe to walk, bike and scoot to school.

Safe, connected cycleways 

When streets are safe and inviting, most people are willing to bike for at least some trips.8 Well-designed, connected bike support can increase cycling and reduce car trips, fuel use and household transport costs.9 International experience shows these shifts happen quickly, particularly when lanes feel safe for people of all ages and abilities.10 To be effective, bike lanes need physical separation from motor traffic on busy roads, continuous routes rather than short fragments, and safe intersections.11

Many cities implemented pop-up cycleways as part of their response to Covid-19.11.12  Cities around the world, including Bogotá, Colombia and Berlin, Germany, used creative, cheap measures such as tape and road cones to very rapidly scale up their bike networks. Other cities accelerated the implementation of planned cycleway programmes.12 A review of 14 cities which added bike networks during the early phase of the Covid-19 pandemic noted that the crisis situation led to significantly increased public support for reallocating street space, with strong support for rapid action.12

Getting people on bikes 

Reducing transport costs while also reducing the need to drive is a win-win. Free bike and e-bike schemes have been shown to reduce car trips and save fuel. A review of free bike initiatives across the UK13 found they reduced car use, with participants shifting to make an average of a quarter of all trips by bike. Free bike schemes focused on people who would not be able to afford bikes and supported social inclusion by enabling people to get to school, work and green spaces in their communities more easily. Health wins included increased physical activity, time outdoors and social connectedness. These schemes delivered an average benefit of £11.80 (NZ$27.30) for every £1 (NZ$2.30) invested.13 

Closer to home, recent e-bike programmes in Māngere, Auckland14 and Wainuiomata, Wellington15 demonstrate that e-biking can thrive in communities with very low rates of cycling. 

Free bike schemes can be set up quickly. In the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic, concerns about transmission drove essential workers away from public transport towards single-occupancy cars. Cities such as Colorado, USA16,17 and Bogotá, Colombia, responded by providing essential workers directly with free e-bikes. After the first three months of the Colorado programme, e-bikes were participants’ most-frequently used mode of travel.16 

Many people own a bike which they do not currently ride.18 Existing cycle skills training for adults could be expanded to support more people to start biking. Expanding support for community organisations which fix up bikes, as Auckland Transport has done, would also be a fast, cost-effective way to help people cycle. 

What this Briefing adds

  • Low-traffic neighbourhoods, expanded cycleways and free bike schemes could be implemented in response to the fuel crisis to rapidly reduce demand for driving. 
  • These low-cost approaches support active travel and have been implemented rapidly and effectively during previous crises.
  • These approaches will allow people to continue everyday life activities such as travelling to the shops, to school and work during an oil crisis. 
  • Active travel interventions also have co-benefits for population health through greater physical activity and social connection, reduced exposure to pollution, and reduced greenhouse gas emissions

Implications for policy and practice

  • The current national Fuel Response Plan lacks adequate measures to reduce demand for fossil fuels.
  • Making active travel attractive, safe and affordable is an essential component of reducing fossil fuel demand as it lowers the number of trips that need to be made by car.
  • These steps to support walking and cycling should be implemented as part of a package of measures to reduce reliance on driving, including removing or reducing public transport fares.
  • Local and central government should increase support for active travel now. Putting these measures in place at early stages of the fuel response plan means that communities will be better prepared if there is a shift to higher response levels.

 

Author details

Dr Emma Osborne,  Dr Alice Miller, Dr Edward Randal, Assoc Prof Caroline Shaw

Department of Public Health, Ōtākou Whakaihu Waka, Pōneke | University of Otago, Wellington

Disclosure statement

Emma Osborne has previously been a trustee of EkeRua ReBicycle Charitable Trust and a cycling skills instructor for Pedal Ready (Greater Wellington Regional Council). Emma has previously received research funding from the New Zealand Transport Agency. 

Caroline Shaw has received research funding from the Health Research Council of New Zealand and the New Zealand Transport Agency. 

Public Health Expert Briefing (ISSN 2816-1203)

References

  1. Twomey I, Heuser A, Rybalka D, West S, Wong O, Casey R. Fuel Security Study: Prepared for Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment. 2025. https://www.mbie.govt.nz/dmsdocument/30476-fuel-security-study-pdf
  2. Ministry of Business Innovation & Employment. Energy in New Zealand 2024. 2024. https://www.mbie.govt.nz/assets/energy-in-nz-2024.pdf
  3. Furlong J. Impacts of 2020 low traffic neighbourhoods in London on road traffic injuries. Findings. 2021. https://westminsterresearch.westminster.ac.uk/item/v6893/impacts-of-2020-low-traffic-neighbourhoods-in-london-on-road-traffic-injuries
  4. Goodman A, Laverty AA, Aldred R. Short-Term Association between the Introduction of 2020 Low Traffic Neighbourhoods and Street Crime, in London, UK. Findings. 2021;2021. https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/4674970/
  5. Yang X, McCoy E, Hough K, de Nazelle A. Evaluation of low traffic neighbourhood (LTN) impacts on NO2 and traffic. Transp Res Part D Transp Environ. 2022;113:103536. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103536
  6. Pérez K, Palència L, López MJ, León-Gómez BB, Puig-Ribera A, Gómez-Gutiérrez A, et al. Environmental and health effects of the Barcelona superblocks. BMC Public Health. 2025;25(1):634. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-21835-z
  7. Aldred R, Goodman A. The impact of low traffic neighbourhoods on active travel, car use, and perceptions of local environment during the COVID-19 pandemic. Findings. 2021;2021. https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.21390.
  8. Dill J, McNeil N. Four types of cyclists? Examination of typology for better understanding of bicycling behavior and potential. Transportation Research Record. 2013;2387(1):129-38. https://doi.org/10.3141/2387-15
  9. Keall MD, Shaw C, Chapman R, Howden-Chapman P. Reductions in carbon dioxide emissions from an intervention to promote cycling and walking: A case study from New Zealand. Transp Res Part D Transp Environ. 2018;65:687-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2018.10.004
  10. Ferenchak NN, Marshall WE. The link between low-stress bicycle facilities and bicycle commuting. Nature Cities. 2025;2(6):555-9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44284-025-00255-5
  11. Buehler R, Pucher J. COVID-19 and cycling: a review of the literature on changes in cycling levels and government policies from 2019 to 2022. Transport Reviews. 2024;44(2):299-344. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2023.2205178
  12. Buehler R, Pucher J. Cycling through the COVID-19 pandemic to a more sustainable transport future: Evidence from case studies of 14 large bicycle-friendly cities in Europe and North America. Sustainability. 2022;14(12):7293. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14127293
  13. Volterra. National evaluation of free bikes. 2025. volterra.co.uk/case-studies/national-evaluation-of-free-bikes-schemes/
  14. Thorne R, Fanueli E, Wild K, Raja A, Witten K, Mackie H, et al. ‘Everyone rides together, everyone rolls together’: exploring walking and cycling cultures in South Auckland. Mobilities. 2023:1-17. https://doi.org/10.1080/17450101.2023.2289441 
  15. Osborne E, Davies C, Raerino K, Shaw C. “It's good for the community to see real people like them on the bike”: Exploring e-bike support in Aotearoa New Zealand. Journal of Transport & Health. 2025;43:102061. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2025.102061
  16. Shankari K, Boyce L, Hintz E, Duvall A. The CanBikeCO Mini Pilot: Preliminary Results and Lessons Learned. National Renewable Energy Lab,; 2021.  Contract No.: NREL/TP-5400-79657. https://docs.nrel.gov/docs/fy21osti/79657.pdf
  17. Bicycle Colorado. Can Do Colorado Ebike Programme: Final Report. 2021.
  18. Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency. Waka Kotahi Cycling Action Plan. 2023.  https://www.nzta.govt.nz/assets/resources/waka-kotahi-cycling-action-plan/waka-kotahi-cycling-action-plan.pdf 

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